Schedule - Day 2

Wednesday, 4 September

9:00am

Emergence of quasi-stability in biological systems

Aneta Koseska 09:00 - 09:40 Room 1.03

9:40am

The role of equation residuals in the discovery of anomalous PDE solutions

Eloisa Bentivegna 09:40 - 10:00 Room 0.02

Estimating Quasipotentials and Minimum Action Paths of a three-box model of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation using an Ordered Line Integral Method

Ruth Chapman 09:40 - 10:00 Room 1.03

Data-driven approach for modelling complex systems using a multivariate non-parametric Langevin equation

Antonio Malpica-Morales 10:00 - 10:20 Room 0.02

Quasi-potential landscape in a bistable cloud system

Benjamin Hernandez 10:00 - 10:20 Room 1.03

10:20am

Coffee break

Room 1.02

11:00am

Siegmund Duality in Physics: a bridge between spatial and first-passage properties of stochastic processes

Léo Touzo 11:00 - 11:20 Room 1.03

Applying complex networks to climate simulations with global-scale tipping

Laure Moinat 11:00 - 11:20 Room 0.02

Data-driven anticipation and prediction of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation collapse using non-autonomous spatio-temporal dynamical modelling

Frank Kwasniok 11:20 - 11:40 Room 0.02

Transition path sampling for SDEs

Raphael Römer 11:20 - 11:40 Room 1.03

11:40am

Path integrals and stochastic transitions

Steve Fitzgerald 11:40 - 12:20 Room 1.03

12:20pm

Lunch

Room 1.02

2:00pm

Tipping in magnetohydrodynamic channel flow through continuation of edge states

Mattias Brynjell-Rahkola 14:00 - 14:20 Room 1.03

The Rise and Fall of Carbon Cycle Instabilities

Perrin W. Davidson 14:00 - 14:20 Room 0.02

Mapping and control of high-dimensional, delay-induced bistability from noisy data

Kevin Daley 14:20 - 14:40 Room 1.03

Predictability of tipping in a climate model featuring a multistable ocean circulation

Johannes Lohmann 14:20 - 14:40 Room 0.02

2:40pm

Using Witten Laplacians to locate index-1 saddle points

Panos Parpas 14:40 - 15:00 Room 1.03

Most Likely AMOC Collapse in a Stochastic Boussinesq Fluid Model

Jelle Soons 14:40 - 15:00 Room 0.02

Uncertainty quantification for overshoots of tipping thresholds

Paul Ritchie 15:00 - 15:20 Room 0.02

Schedule - Day 2

Wednesday, 4 September

9:00am

Emergence of quasi-stability in biological systems

9:40am

The role of equation residuals in the discovery of anomalous PDE solutions

Estimating Quasipotentials and Minimum Action Paths of a three-box model of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation using an Ordered Line Integral Method

Data-driven approach for modelling complex systems using a multivariate non-parametric Langevin equation

Quasi-potential landscape in a bistable cloud system

10:20am

Coffee break

11:00am

Siegmund Duality in Physics: a bridge between spatial and first-passage properties of stochastic processes

Applying complex networks to climate simulations with global-scale tipping

Data-driven anticipation and prediction of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation collapse using non-autonomous spatio-temporal dynamical modelling

Transition path sampling for SDEs

11:40am

Path integrals and stochastic transitions

12:20pm

Lunch

2:00pm

Tipping in magnetohydrodynamic channel flow through continuation of edge states

The Rise and Fall of Carbon Cycle Instabilities

Mapping and control of high-dimensional, delay-induced bistability from noisy data

Predictability of tipping in a climate model featuring a multistable ocean circulation

2:40pm

Using Witten Laplacians to locate index-1 saddle points

Most Likely AMOC Collapse in a Stochastic Boussinesq Fluid Model

Uncertainty quantification for overshoots of tipping thresholds

Efficacy and reliability of early warnings to critical transitions in a non-autonomous turbulent reactive flow system

3:20pm

Coffee break

4:00pm

Metastability and rare transitions via sharp large deviation estimates

4:40pm

Free discussion

7:00pm

Conference dinner